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What is the current probability that asteroid 2024 YR4 will hit Earth?
Scientists now report that asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 3.1% probability of impact, which is up about 1% from previous assessments made just days ago. The asteroid, roughly the size of the Statue of Liberty, would be large enough to wipe out a city if it were to hit Earth. However, there's still a 96.9% chance the asteroid will miss Earth entirely. Scientists have over seven years to prepare for the potential impact, as the asteroid will disappear behind the sun until 2028. The James Webb Space Telescope will be used to get a better look at the asteroid before it moves out of view.
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NASA's Asteroid Impact Probabilities
NBC News·8 months ago
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