What are the potential implications of a ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine conflict?

According to Dr. Malcolm Davis of the Australian Strategic Policy Institute, a ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine conflict would not necessarily lead to lasting peace but rather represent a temporary pause in hostilities. He draws a historical parallel to 1938, suggesting that similar diplomatic compromises ultimately led to greater conflict. Davis cautions against viewing such a development optimistically, emphasizing that we should be "very cautious about seeing anything positive in this situation." His analysis suggests that a ceasefire might merely give Russia time to regroup before resuming aggression, similar to historical patterns where temporary peace agreements preceded larger conflicts.